Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung
The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gangneung City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Gangneung City (1,569) and Gyeongju HNP (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangneung City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gyeongju HNP have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gangneung City win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gyeongju HNP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gangneung City 2-0 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gangneung City 1-3 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Gangneung City 1-2 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| May 25, 2024 | Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Gangneung City 1-1 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangneung City score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gyeongju HNP score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gyeongju HNP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangneung City sit 9th in K3 League (23 points from 19 matches) and Gyeongju HNP sit 8th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gangneung City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 23 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?
- The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Gangneung City.
- Where and when is Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP played?
- Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Gangneung Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.