Darlington 1883 vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Redcar Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Darlington 1883 wins, 0 draws, 4 Buxton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Darlington 1883 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Buxton | FA Trophy |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Buxton 2-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Darlington 1883 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Buxton on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darlington 1883 sit 23rd in National League - North (8 points from 12 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Buxton played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Buxton is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.