Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, Zárate, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentino Quilmes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Defensores Unidos (1,594) and Argentino Quilmes (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores Unidos have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Argentino Quilmes have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liniers(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Pilar(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Defensores Unidos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Argentino Quilmes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes 1-0 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Defensores Unidos 4-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Argentino Quilmes 4-0 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Defensores Unidos 1-1 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Argentino Quilmes 0-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Defensores Unidos 2-0 Argentino Quilmes | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino Quilmes score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0.9 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensores Unidos sit 17th in Primera B Metropolitana (23 points from 20 matches) and Argentino Quilmes sit 16th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 36 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
- The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentino Quilmes.
- Where and when is Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes played?
- Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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