Match

Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, Zárate, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Defensores UnidosArgentino Quilmes

The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentino Quilmes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Defensores Unidos (1,594) and Argentino Quilmes (1,646).

Defensores Unidos win37 %
Draw31 %
Argentino Quilmes win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores Unidos have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Argentino Quilmes have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Defensores Unidos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Sportivo Italiano(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026San Martín Burzaco(home)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Villa San Carlos(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Liniers(home)2-3Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Real Pilar(away)1-2Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Quilmes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026San Martín Burzaco(away)2-3Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Villa San Carlos(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Liniers(away)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Real Pilar(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026UAI Urquiza(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Defensores Unidos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Argentino Quilmes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Argentino Quilmes 1-0 Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana
Oct 2, 2022Defensores Unidos 4-1 Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana
Jun 4, 2022Argentino Quilmes 4-0 Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana
Aug 7, 2021Defensores Unidos 1-1 Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 28, 2021Argentino Quilmes 0-1 Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana
Oct 15, 2019Defensores Unidos 2-0 Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Argentino Quilmes vs Defensores Unidos on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino Quilmes score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Defensores Unidos0.81.346/154/15
Argentino Quilmes0.91.084/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Defensores Unidos sit 17th in Primera B Metropolitana (23 points from 20 matches) and Argentino Quilmes sit 16th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Argentino Quilmes20587191923
16Argentino Quilmes3281311283337
17Defensores Unidos20587182123
17Defensores Unidos3271114283632

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Argentino Quilmes.
Where and when is Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes played?
Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Defensores Unidos and Argentino Quilmes

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