Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Real Pilar. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Real Pilar (1,725) and Villa Dalmine (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Villa Dalmine have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Real Pilar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Villa Dalmine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Villa Dalmine 1-1 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Villa Dalmine 1-1 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Real Pilar 0-0 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Villa Dalmine vs Real Pilar on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Villa Dalmine | 0.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Villa Dalmine sit 3rd (37 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Real Pilar.
- Where and when is Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine played?
- Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores UnidosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Oct 3, 2026UAI UrquizavsItuzaingó
- Oct 3, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 3, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 3, 2026ComunicacionesvsFlandria
- Oct 3, 2026Villa San CarlosvsArsenal Sarandi
- Oct 3, 2026Deportivo MerlovsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 3, 2026San Martín BurzacovsArgentino de Merlo