UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes UAI Urquiza the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate UAI Urquiza (1,588) and Ituzaingó (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UAI Urquiza have 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Ituzaingó have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 UAI Urquiza win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ituzaingó win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó 1-1 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 7, 2023 | UAI Urquiza 2-2 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Ituzaingó 1-3 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Ituzaingó 0-0 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UAI Urquiza 0-1 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Ituzaingó vs UAI Urquiza on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ituzaingó | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UAI Urquiza sit 19th in Primera B Metropolitana (20 points from 20 matches) and Ituzaingó sit 22nd (9 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 31 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 9 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
- The Footlab model makes UAI Urquiza the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Ituzaingó.
- Where and when is UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó played?
- UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Defensores UnidosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Oct 3, 2026Real PilarvsVilla Dalmine
- Oct 3, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 3, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 3, 2026ComunicacionesvsFlandria
- Oct 3, 2026Villa San CarlosvsArsenal Sarandi
- Oct 3, 2026Deportivo MerlovsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 3, 2026San Martín BurzacovsArgentino de Merlo