Match

Degerfors IF vs Gais: prediction and stats

AllsvenskanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stora Valla, Degerfors

Degerfors IFGais

The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Degerfors IF vs Gais?

Gais starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,723).

Degerfors IF win31 %
Draw27 %
Gais win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Gais have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Degerfors IF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026IF Brommapojkarna(away)0-2Allsvenskan
Aug 19, 2026IFK Östersund(away)5-1Svenska Cupen
Aug 16, 2026IFK Goteborg(home)3-0Allsvenskan
Aug 9, 2026Malmo FF(away)2-1Allsvenskan
Aug 2, 2026IFK Goteborg(away)0-2Allsvenskan
Gais
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hammarby FF(away)0-2Allsvenskan
Aug 16, 2026Malmo FF(home)0-1Allsvenskan
Aug 9, 2026Halmstad(away)2-0Allsvenskan
Jul 30, 2026FC Nordsjaelland(away)0-6UEFA Europa Conference League
Jul 26, 2026Halmstad(home)1-1Allsvenskan

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Degerfors IF win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gais win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Gais 1-1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Jul 19, 2025Degerfors IF 0-3 GaisAllsvenskan
Apr 13, 2025Gais 2-0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Feb 24, 2024Degerfors IF 2-2 GaisSvenska Cupen
Feb 9, 2023Gais 1-0 Degerfors IFFriendlies Clubs
Nov 7, 2020Degerfors IF 2-1 GaisSuperettan

Last archived meeting: Gais vs Degerfors IF on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gais score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Degerfors IF1.11.718/157/15
Gais1.01.165/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Degerfors IF sit 14th in Allsvenskan (16 points from 18 matches) and Gais sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gais18657211823
14Degerfors IF184410172916

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Degerfors IF vs Gais?
The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Degerfors IF.
Where and when is Degerfors IF vs Gais played?
Degerfors IF vs Gais is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stora Valla, in the Allsvenskan.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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