IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab AI model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1. If IFK Goteborg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate IFK Goteborg (1,906) and Malmo FF (1,924).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
IFK Goteborg
4-2-3-1- 7Alexander Illum Simmelhack
- 8S. Larsson
- 15D. Kruse
- 11N. Žugelj
- 14T. Heintz
- 24O. Mansson
- 5J. Bager
- 22Noah Tolf
- 4K. Ackermann
- 26E. Fasth
- 12V. Andersson
Malmo FF
4-3-3- 45A. Hoog
- 32D. Guðjohnsen
- 15M. Lahdo
- 37A. Skogmar
- 7O. Rosengren
- 28J. MilosavljeviÄ
- 25Busanello
- 17J. Stryger Larsen
- 5A. Đurić
- 44M. Pålsson
- 1R. Olsen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Goteborg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Malmo FF have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 7, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 IFK Goteborg win, 1 draw, 4 Malmo FF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Malmo FF 0-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 25, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 1-0 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Malmo FF 3-2 IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Malmo FF 2-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 13, 2024 | IFK Goteborg 0-3 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Goteborg score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Goteborg sit 8th in Allsvenskan (35 points from 23 matches) and Malmo FF sit 6th (36 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 33 | 36 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 41 | 35 |
A question about IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab AI model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF played?
- IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.