Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Strandvallen, Sölvesborg
The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
Mjallby AIF starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mjallby AIF have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Degerfors IF have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mjallby AIF win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Degerfors IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF 1-4 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Degerfors IF 0-1 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mjallby AIF 4-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Degerfors IF 1-2 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Mjallby AIF 2-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Degerfors IF 0-0 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Degerfors IF vs Mjallby AIF on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mjallby AIF sit 11th in Allsvenskan (20 points from 16 matches) and Degerfors IF sit 14th (16 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mjallby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF?
- The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF played?
- Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Strandvallen, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.