Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Djurgardens IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Hammarby FF (1,965) and Djurgardens IF (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby FF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Djurgardens IF have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 6-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hammarby FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Djurgardens IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Djurgardens IF 1-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Hammarby FF 1-0 Djurgardens IF | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Djurgardens IF 3-3 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Hammarby FF 2-0 Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Hammarby FF 2-0 Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Djurgardens IF 0-3 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Djurgardens IF vs Hammarby FF on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Djurgardens IF score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Djurgardens IF | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby FF sit 2nd in Allsvenskan (36 points from 18 matches) and Djurgardens IF sit 4th (29 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Djurgardens IF | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Djurgardens IF.
- Where and when is Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF played?
- Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tele2 Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.