Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 20Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
The Footlab model makes Denmark U21 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Belarus U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21?
Denmark U21 starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denmark U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Belarus U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Wales U21(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Belarus U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | USA U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Belgium U21(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Austria U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Austria U21(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Wales U21(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Denmark U21(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Denmark U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Belarus U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Belarus U21 0-1 Denmark U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Belarus U21 vs Denmark U21 on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Belarus U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark U21 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Belarus U21 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (10 points from 5 matches) and Belarus U21 sit 5th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Denmark U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21?
- The Footlab model makes Denmark U21 the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Belarus U21.
- Where and when is Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21 played?
- Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21 is played on September 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aalborg Portland Park, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 28, 2026Belgium U21vsWales U21
- Sep 29, 2026Estonia U21vsFrance U21
- Sep 29, 2026Iceland U21vsSwitzerland U21
- Sep 29, 2026Norway U21vsBosnia-Herzegovina U21
- Sep 29, 2026Republic of Ireland U21vsKazakhstan U21
- Sep 29, 2026Slovenia U21vsIsrael U21
- Sep 30, 2026Czechia U21vsBulgaria U21
- Sep 30, 2026Faroe Islands U21vsLuxembourg U21