Match

Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 20Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Streymoy

Faroe Islands U21Luxembourg U21

The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luxembourg U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Faroe Islands U21 (1,404) and Luxembourg U21 (1,313).

Faroe Islands U21 win46 %
Draw25 %
Luxembourg U21 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faroe Islands U21 have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Luxembourg U21 have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Faroe Islands U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Switzerland U21(away)0-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025France U21(away)0-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025Hungary U21(away)0-3Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025Switzerland U21(home)1-3UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025France U21(home)0-6UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Luxembourg U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Kosovo U21(away)0-0Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026France U21(home)1-5UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Switzerland U21(home)2-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025Iceland U21(home)1-3UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Iceland U21(away)1-2UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Faroe Islands U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Luxembourg U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 9, 2025Luxembourg U21 0-1 Faroe Islands U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Luxembourg U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 on Sep 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Faroe Islands U21 score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg U21 score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Faroe Islands U210.72.135/1510/15
Luxembourg U210.82.337/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Faroe Islands U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 7 matches) and Luxembourg U21 sit 5th (4 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Faroe Islands U2173046139
5Luxembourg U2161147144

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21?
The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luxembourg U21.
Where and when is Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21 played?
Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Faroe Islands U21 and Luxembourg U21

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