Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 20Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Streymoy
The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luxembourg U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Faroe Islands U21 (1,404) and Luxembourg U21 (1,313).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faroe Islands U21 have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Luxembourg U21 have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Switzerland U21(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2025 | France U21(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Hungary U21(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Switzerland U21(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | France U21(home) | 0-6 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kosovo U21(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | France U21(home) | 1-5 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Switzerland U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Iceland U21(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Iceland U21(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Faroe Islands U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Luxembourg U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Luxembourg U21 0-1 Faroe Islands U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Luxembourg U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 on Sep 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Faroe Islands U21 score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg U21 score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands U21 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Luxembourg U21 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Faroe Islands U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 7 matches) and Luxembourg U21 sit 5th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21?
- The Footlab model makes Faroe Islands U21 the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Luxembourg U21.
- Where and when is Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21 played?
- Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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