Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 20Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Slovenia U21 the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Israel U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Slovenia U21 (1,510) and Israel U21 (1,455).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovenia U21 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Israel U21 have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Albania U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Norway U21(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Netherlands U21(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Hungary U21(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Netherlands U21(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Norway U21(home) | 0-3 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Slovenia U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Slovenia U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Israel U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Israel U21 1-1 Slovenia U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Israel U21 vs Slovenia U21 on Oct 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slovenia U21 score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Israel U21 score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia U21 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Israel U21 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovenia U21 sit 5th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (5 points from 6 matches) and Israel U21 sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Israel U21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Slovenia U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21?
- The Footlab model makes Slovenia U21 the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Israel U21.
- Where and when is Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 played?
- Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 is played on September 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stožice, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 28, 2026Denmark U21vsBelarus U21
- Sep 29, 2026Estonia U21vsFrance U21
- Sep 29, 2026Iceland U21vsSwitzerland U21
- Sep 29, 2026Norway U21vsBosnia-Herzegovina U21
- Sep 29, 2026Republic of Ireland U21vsKazakhstan U21
- Sep 30, 2026Czechia U21vsBulgaria U21
- Sep 30, 2026Faroe Islands U21vsLuxembourg U21