Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 20Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U21 the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Kazakhstan U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21?
Republic of Ireland U21 starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,340).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U21 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Kazakhstan U21 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Croatia U21(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Moldova U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Andorra U21(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Belarus U21(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Belarus U21(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U21(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Slovakia U21(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Moldova U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Republic of Ireland U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kazakhstan U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan U21 0-1 Republic of Ireland U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Kazakhstan U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Republic of Ireland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kazakhstan U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland U21 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kazakhstan U21 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Republic of Ireland U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (11 points from 7 matches) and Kazakhstan U21 sit 6th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Republic of Ireland U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kazakhstan U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21?
- The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U21 the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Kazakhstan U21.
- Where and when is Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 played?
- Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 is played on September 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Waterford Regional Sports Centre, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 28, 2026Belgium U21vsWales U21
- Sep 28, 2026Denmark U21vsBelarus U21
- Sep 29, 2026Estonia U21vsFrance U21
- Sep 29, 2026Iceland U21vsSwitzerland U21
- Sep 29, 2026Norway U21vsBosnia-Herzegovina U21
- Sep 29, 2026Slovenia U21vsIsrael U21
- Sep 30, 2026Czechia U21vsBulgaria U21
- Sep 30, 2026Faroe Islands U21vsLuxembourg U21