Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Bicentenario Germán Becker, Temuco
The Footlab model makes Deportes Temuco the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Deportes Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Deportes Temuco (1,587) and Deportes Santa Cruz (1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Temuco have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Deportes Santa Cruz have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 3-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 1-4 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Temuco win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Deportes Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz 2-3 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Deportes Temuco 0-0 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Deportes Santa Cruz 2-0 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Deportes Santa Cruz 3-1 Deportes Temuco | Primera B |
| May 4, 2024 | Deportes Temuco 1-1 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Deportes Temuco 2-1 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes Temuco on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Temuco score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Temuco sit 12th in Primera B (25 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15th (16 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Temuco the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Deportes Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz played?
- Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Santa Cruz is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Bicentenario Germán Becker, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.