Match

Recoleta vs Magallanes: prediction and stats

Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, Recoleta

RecoletaMagallanes

The Footlab model makes Recoleta the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Magallanes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recoleta vs Magallanes?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Recoleta (1,617) and Magallanes (1,639).

Recoleta win42 %
Draw25 %
Magallanes win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recoleta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Magallanes have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recoleta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Copiapo(home)2-1Primera B
Aug 18, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)1-1Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Rangers de Talca(home)4-2Primera B
Aug 8, 2026Union San Felipe(away)0-0Primera B
Aug 2, 2026D. Puerto Montt(home)0-1Primera B
Magallanes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Santa Cruz(home)1-0Primera B
Aug 15, 2026Rangers de Talca(away)3-2Primera B
Aug 12, 2026Cobreloa(home)2-2Primera B
Aug 9, 2026Deportes Temuco(away)4-3Primera B
Aug 2, 2026Union Espanola(home)3-2Primera B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Recoleta win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Magallanes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Magallanes 3-2 RecoletaPrimera B
Jul 13, 2025Recoleta 2-0 MagallanesPrimera B
Mar 23, 2025Magallanes 2-0 RecoletaCopa Chile
Feb 22, 2025Magallanes 3-0 RecoletaPrimera B
Feb 9, 2025Recoleta 0-1 MagallanesCopa Chile
Oct 3, 2024Magallanes 1-1 RecoletaPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Magallanes vs Recoleta on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Magallanes score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Recoleta1.11.339/157/15
Magallanes1.72.1211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Recoleta sit 9th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Magallanes sit 3rd (35 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Magallanes211056373535
9Recoleta21867323130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recoleta vs Magallanes?
The Footlab model makes Recoleta the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Magallanes.
Where and when is Recoleta vs Magallanes played?
Recoleta vs Magallanes is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Recoleta, in the Primera B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Recoleta and Magallanes

Ready to know everything about football?