Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
The Footlab model makes Rangers de Talca the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Union San Felipe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Rangers de Talca (1,519) and Union San Felipe (1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rangers de Talca have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Union San Felipe have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magallanes(home) | 2-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 2-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Recoleta(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rangers de Talca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union San Felipe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Union San Felipe 2-1 Rangers de Talca | Primera B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Rangers de Talca 2-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| May 17, 2025 | Union San Felipe 0-2 Rangers de Talca | Primera B |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Rangers de Talca 1-1 Union San Felipe | Primera B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Union San Felipe 1-2 Rangers de Talca | Primera B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Union San Felipe 4-1 Rangers de Talca | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Union San Felipe vs Rangers de Talca on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rangers de Talca score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union San Felipe score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Union San Felipe | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rangers de Talca sit 16th in Primera B (9 points from 21 matches) and Union San Felipe sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe?
- The Footlab model makes Rangers de Talca the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Union San Felipe.
- Where and when is Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe played?
- Rangers de Talca vs Union San Felipe is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fiscal de Talca, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.