D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Luis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate D. Puerto Montt (1,706) and San Luis (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, D. Puerto Montt have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; San Luis have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 D. Puerto Montt win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Luis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | San Luis 4-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2023 | San Luis 0-0 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Apr 15, 2023 | D. Puerto Montt 0-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Sep 7, 2022 | San Luis 0-3 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
| Apr 21, 2022 | D. Puerto Montt 1-1 San Luis | Primera B |
| Sep 1, 2021 | San Luis 0-1 D. Puerto Montt | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
D. Puerto Montt score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Luis score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto Montt | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| San Luis | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
D. Puerto Montt sit 7th in Primera B (31 points from 21 matches) and San Luis sit 6th (32 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis?
- The Footlab model makes D. Puerto Montt the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Luis.
- Where and when is D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis played?
- D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario de Chinquihue, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.