Deportivo La Coruna vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Deportivo La Coruna (2,060) and Celta Vigo (2,122).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruna have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Celta Vigo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo La Coruna win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Celta Vigo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2018 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Celta Vigo 4-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Celta Vigo 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Deportivo La Coruna on May 5, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th in La Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruna vs Celta Vigo played?
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Celta Vigo is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.