Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander?
Real Sociedad starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,153 vs 2,040).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 18Carlos Soler
- 7Barrenetxea
- 6Jon Martín
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 23Iván Martín
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 19Iker Luque
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Santander have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Ribadesella CF(away) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Real Sociedad wins, 2 draws, 1 Racing Santander win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Sociedad 1-1 Racing Santander | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Real Sociedad 3-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Racing Santander 0-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Mar 20, 2011 | Racing Santander 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 6, 2010 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 5th in La Liga (19 points from 11 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
A question about Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander played?
- Real Sociedad vs Racing Santander is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.