Barcelona vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Espanyol?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,413 Elo points against 2,005, a 408-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barcelona vs Espanyol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 17A. Gordon
- 11Raphinha
- 16Rodri
- 20Dani Olmo
- 8Pedri
- 24Eric García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12X. Espart
- 1Joan García
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 24T. Dolan
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 4Urko González
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 13M. Dmitrović
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Espanyol have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante(away) | 4-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barcelona wins, 1 draw, 0 Espanyol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Barcelona 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Espanyol 0-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| May 15, 2025 | Espanyol 0-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Barcelona 3-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Espanyol 2-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Barcelona 1-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona vs Espanyol on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 3.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 1st in La Liga (24 points from 8 matches) and Espanyol sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 24 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Barcelona vs Espanyol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Espanyol played?
- Barcelona vs Espanyol is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.