Celta Vigo vs Barcelona: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barcelona wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,435 Elo points against 2,084, a 351-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta Vigo vs Barcelona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 13I. Radu
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 9Gabriel Jesus
- 17A. Gordon
- 16Rodri
- 8Pedri
- 7Fermín
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12X. Espart
- 23J. Koundé
- 1Joan García
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Barcelona have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Celta Vigo wins, 1 draw, 5 Barcelona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celta Vigo 2-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 3.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Barcelona | 3.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta Vigo sit 11th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Barcelona sit 1st (27 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 27 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Celta Vigo vs Barcelona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta Vigo vs Barcelona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Celta Vigo vs Barcelona played?
- Celta Vigo vs Barcelona is played on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.