Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,294 vs 2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 15J. David
- 11A. Lookman
- 20G. Simeone
- 7Lee Kang-In
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 23M. Hjulmand
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 18Marc Pubill
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13J. Oblak
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 8G. Kochorashvili
- 30Miguel Ángel
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Sevilla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Atletico Madrid wins, 0 draws, 2 Sevilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sevilla 1-3 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sevilla 2-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Atletico Madrid 3-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 4-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sevilla 1-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 2nd in La Liga (22 points from 9 matches) and Sevilla sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla played?
- Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.