Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Merlo the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Flandria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Deportivo Merlo (1,624) and Flandria (1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Flandria have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Merlo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Flandria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Flandria 2-0 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Flandria 1-1 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Flandria | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Deportivo Merlo 3-0 Flandria | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Flandria 0-2 Deportivo Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Deportivo Merlo 0-0 Flandria | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Flandria vs Deportivo Merlo on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flandria score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Flandria | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Merlo sit 8th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Flandria sit 18th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Merlo | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 39 |
| 18 | Flandria | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 22 |
| 19 | Flandria | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 39 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Merlo the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Flandria.
- Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria played?
- Deportivo Merlo vs Flandria is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Villa DalminevsItuzaingó
- Sep 19, 2026UAI UrquizavsExcursionistas
- Sep 19, 2026Real PilarvsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 19, 2026Dock SudvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Sep 19, 2026ComunicacionesvsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026Villa San CarlosvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 19, 2026San Martín BurzacovsDeportivo Laferrere