San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Boga, Burzaco, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Laferrere the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for San Martín Burzaco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate San Martín Burzaco (1,633) and Deportivo Laferrere (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín Burzaco have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportivo Laferrere have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dock Sud(away) | 1-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 3-5 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 3-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Martín Burzaco win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Laferrere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere 0-2 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Deportivo Laferrere 2-1 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 9, 2025 | San Martín Burzaco 1-1 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 7, 2024 | San Martín Burzaco 1-1 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Deportivo Laferrere 2-0 San Martín Burzaco | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 9, 2023 | San Martín Burzaco 1-3 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Laferrere vs San Martín Burzaco on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín Burzaco score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Laferrere score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín Burzaco | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín Burzaco sit 10th in Primera B Metropolitana (28 points from 20 matches) and Deportivo Laferrere sit 13th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martín Burzaco | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 28 |
| 12 | San Martín Burzaco | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
| 13 | Deportivo Laferrere | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Laferrere the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for San Martín Burzaco.
- Where and when is San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere played?
- San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Laferrere is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Boga, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Villa DalminevsItuzaingó
- Sep 19, 2026UAI UrquizavsExcursionistas
- Sep 19, 2026Real PilarvsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 19, 2026Dock SudvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Sep 19, 2026ComunicacionesvsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026Villa San CarlosvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo MerlovsFlandria