Match

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Villa DalmineItuzaingó

The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 67%, against 24% for a draw and 9% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

Villa Dalmine starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,542).

Villa Dalmine win67 %
Draw24 %
Ituzaingó win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Dalmine have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ituzaingó have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Dalmine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Flandria(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Argentino Quilmes(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Ituzaingó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Merlo(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Argentino de Merlo(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 7, 2026Deportivo Camioneros(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Talleres Remedios(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Sportivo Italiano(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Villa Dalmine win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ituzaingó win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Ituzaingó 0-2 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Ituzaingó vs Villa Dalmine on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Dalmine0.90.675/155/15
Ituzaingó0.61.356/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Dalmine sit 3rd in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and Ituzaingó sit 22nd (9 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Villa Dalmine3116105351658
3Villa Dalmine201073241037
22Ituzaingó21161415369
22Ituzaingó3111119194714

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 67%, against 24% for a draw and 9% for Ituzaingó.
Where and when is Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó played?
Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Dalmine and Ituzaingó

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