Match

Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Real PilarArsenal Sarandi

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Real Pilar. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Real Pilar (1,725) and Arsenal Sarandi (1,737).

Real Pilar win29 %
Draw34 %
Arsenal Sarandi win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal Sarandi have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Pilar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Flandria(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Argentino Quilmes(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Defensores Unidos(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana
Arsenal Sarandi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Ituzaingó(home)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Argentino de Merlo(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Talleres Remedios(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Real Pilar win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Arsenal Sarandi vs Real Pilar on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Pilar score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Pilar1.10.867/155/15
Arsenal Sarandi1.10.957/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Arsenal Sarandi3215125412257
4Arsenal Sarandi201073271437
7Real Pilar20947232231
7Real Pilar321499363151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 37%, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Real Pilar.
Where and when is Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi played?
Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Pilar and Arsenal Sarandi

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