Match

Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo MoronGodoy Cruz

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Godoy Cruz. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Deportivo Moron (1,839) and Godoy Cruz (1,785).

Deportivo Moron win63 %
Draw23 %
Godoy Cruz win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Moron have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Godoy Cruz have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Moron
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026San Telmo(away)2-2Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Almagro(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Acassuso(home)4-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Chaco For Ever(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Ferro Carril Oeste(home)4-0Primera Nacional
Godoy Cruz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Deportivo Madryn(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 21, 2026Acassuso(away)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Maipu(home)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Chaco For Ever(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Ferro Carril Oeste(away)3-1Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Deportivo Moron win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Godoy Cruz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Godoy Cruz 2-2 Deportivo MoronPrimera Nacional
Feb 26, 2026Godoy Cruz 0-1 Deportivo MoronCopa Argentina

Last archived meeting: Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Moron on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Godoy Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Moron1.71.057/158/15
Godoy Cruz1.31.137/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Moron sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 25 matches) and Godoy Cruz sit 6th (40 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Deportivo Moron251366412445
6Godoy Cruz261178292440

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Godoy Cruz.
Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz played?
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Deportivo Moron and Godoy Cruz

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