Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Godoy Cruz. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Deportivo Moron (1,839) and Godoy Cruz (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Moron have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Godoy Cruz have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 4-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(home) | 4-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Deportivo Moron win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Godoy Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Godoy Cruz 2-2 Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Godoy Cruz 0-1 Deportivo Moron | Copa Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Moron on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Godoy Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moron | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Godoy Cruz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Moron sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 25 matches) and Godoy Cruz sit 6th (40 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Godoy Cruz.
- Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz played?
- Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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