Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Ferro Carril Oeste

Ciudad de Bolívar

The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Ferro Carril Oeste (1,815) and Ciudad de Bolívar (1,766).

Ferro Carril Oeste win53 %

Draw27 %

Ciudad de Bolívar win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferro Carril Oeste have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Ciudad de Bolívar have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ferro Carril Oeste
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	All Boys(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta(home)	3-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Los Andes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Godoy Cruz(home)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Deportivo Moron(away)	0-4	Primera Nacional

Ciudad de Bolívar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Agropecuario(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Almirante Brown(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar 2-4 Ferro Carril Oeste	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ferro Carril Oeste	1.4	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
Ciudad de Bolívar	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st in Primera Nacional (52 points from 26 matches) and Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th (35 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	26	16	4	6	32	23	52
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	26	8	11	7	22	23	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?: The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.