Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, Carlos Casares, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Gimnasia Y Tiro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Agropecuario (1,740) and Gimnasia Y Tiro (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agropecuario have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Agropecuario win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-3 Agropecuario | Primera Nacional |
| May 22, 2017 | Agropecuario 2-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Torneo Federal A |
Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Agropecuario on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agropecuario score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Y Tiro score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agropecuario | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agropecuario sit 15th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 7th (38 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 38 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
- The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Gimnasia Y Tiro.
- Where and when is Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro played?
- Agropecuario vs Gimnasia Y Tiro is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Colon Santa FevsLos Andes
- Sep 12, 2026TemperleyvsAlmagro
- Sep 12, 2026San Martin S.J.vsColegiales
- Sep 12, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo MoronvsGodoy Cruz
- Sep 12, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsCiudad de Bolívar
- Sep 12, 2026Nueva ChicagovsPatronato
- Sep 12, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsQuilmes