Match

Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Chacarita JuniorsQuilmes

The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Chacarita Juniors (1,701) and Quilmes (1,758).

Chacarita Juniors win32 %
Draw32 %
Quilmes win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chacarita Juniors have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Quilmes have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chacarita Juniors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Martin Tucuman(home)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 19, 2026Club Atlético Güemes(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026CA Estudiantes(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Atletico DE Rafaela(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Agropecuario(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Quilmes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Maipu(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026San Telmo(home)3-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Almagro(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Gimnasia Jujuy(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Patronato(away)3-3Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chacarita Juniors win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Quilmes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Quilmes 0-0 Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional
Jul 13, 2024Chacarita Juniors 0-4 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
Feb 26, 2024Quilmes 1-0 Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional
Sep 23, 2023Chacarita Juniors 2-2 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
May 13, 2023Quilmes 1-1 Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional
Apr 23, 2022Chacarita Juniors 2-2 QuilmesPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors on May 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chacarita Juniors0.71.154/153/15
Quilmes1.10.965/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chacarita Juniors sit 16th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 26 matches) and Quilmes sit 10th (32 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Quilmes268810272232
16Chacarita Juniors267613192827

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Chacarita Juniors.
Where and when is Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes played?
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chacarita Juniors and Quilmes

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