Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Chacarita Juniors (1,701) and Quilmes (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chacarita Juniors have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Quilmes have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chacarita Juniors win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Quilmes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Quilmes 0-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Chacarita Juniors 0-4 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Quilmes 1-0 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Chacarita Juniors 2-2 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| May 13, 2023 | Quilmes 1-1 Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Chacarita Juniors 2-2 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Quilmes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chacarita Juniors sit 16th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 26 matches) and Quilmes sit 10th (32 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
- The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Chacarita Juniors.
- Where and when is Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes played?
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026TemperleyvsAlmagro
- Sep 12, 2026San Martin S.J.vsColegiales
- Sep 12, 2026AgropecuariovsGimnasia Y Tiro
- Sep 12, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsSan Martin Tucuman
- Sep 12, 2026Deportivo MoronvsGodoy Cruz
- Sep 12, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsCiudad de Bolívar
- Sep 12, 2026Nueva ChicagovsPatronato
- Sep 12, 2026Colon Santa FevsLos Andes