Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Deportivo Paraguayo, 35% for a draw, 33% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Deportivo Paraguayo (1,430) and Leandro N. Alem (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Paraguayo have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Leandro N. Alem have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud Unida(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Juventud Unida(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugano(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Paraguayo win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Leandro N. Alem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leandro N. Alem 4-2 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera C |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Deportivo Paraguayo 2-2 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Leandro N. Alem 1-1 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera C |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Leandro N. Alem 3-0 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera D |
| Sep 26, 2016 | Deportivo Paraguayo 1-2 Leandro N. Alem | Primera D |
| Sep 1, 2015 | Leandro N. Alem 3-0 Deportivo Paraguayo | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Leandro N. Alem vs Deportivo Paraguayo on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Paraguayo score 0.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leandro N. Alem score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Leandro N. Alem | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Paraguayo sit 13th in Primera C (23 points from 25 matches) and Leandro N. Alem sit 11th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leandro N. Alem | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 42 | 27 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Deportivo Paraguayo, 35% for a draw, 33% for Leandro N. Alem.
- Where and when is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem played?
- Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Antonio Arias, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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