Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, General Rodríguez, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Leandro N. Alem (1,517) and Centro Español (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leandro N. Alem have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Centro Español have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lugano(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Central Ballester(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sacachispas(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Victoriano Arenas(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leandro N. Alem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Centro Español win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Centro Español 3-0 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Centro Español 1-1 Leandro N. Alem | Primera C |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Leandro N. Alem 1-0 Centro Español | Primera C |
| May 16, 2017 | Centro Español 0-2 Leandro N. Alem | Primera D |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Leandro N. Alem 2-0 Centro Español | Primera D |
| Jul 27, 2015 | Leandro N. Alem 1-0 Centro Español | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Centro Español vs Leandro N. Alem on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leandro N. Alem score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Centro Español score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro N. Alem | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Centro Español | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leandro N. Alem sit 11th in Primera C (27 points from 24 matches) and Centro Español sit 3rd (38 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Centro Español | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 11 | Leandro N. Alem | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 40 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español?
- The Footlab model makes Centro Español the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Leandro N. Alem.
- Where and when is Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español played?
- Leandro N. Alem vs Centro Español is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 3, 2026Central CordobavsYupanqui
- Oct 3, 2026Sportivo BarracasvsLeones de Rosario
- Oct 3, 2026SacachispasvsEstrella Del Sur
- Oct 3, 2026LujanvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Oct 3, 2026Central BallestervsDeportivo Muñiz
- Oct 3, 2026FénixvsAtletico Atlas
- Oct 3, 2026El PorvenirvsCanuelas