Match

Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005: prediction and stats

Third League - NortheastNortheast - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Olympic VarnaDevnya 2005

The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Devnya 2005. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olympic Varna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Olympic Varna (1,362) and Devnya 2005 (1,407).

47%22%31%
Olympic Varna winDrawDevnya 2005 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Olympic Varna

Not enough data to predict the Olympic Varna lineup.

Devnya 2005

Not enough data to predict the Devnya 2005 lineup.

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Varna have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Devnya 2005 have 3, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olympic Varna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Botev Novi Pazar(home)1-0Third League - Northeast
Sep 26, 2026Aksakovo(away)2-3Third League - Northeast
Sep 20, 2026Cherno more II(away)0-2Third League - Northeast
Sep 12, 2026Chernomorets Balchik(away)3-4Third League - Northeast
Sep 5, 2026Chernolomets 1919(home)1-3Third League - Northeast
Devnya 2005
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Dragoevo(away)2-0Third League - Northeast
Oct 3, 2026Ustrem Donchevo(home)2-1Third League - Northeast
Sep 26, 2026Fratria II(away)0-1Third League - Northeast
Sep 19, 2026Dorostol(home)2-2Third League - Northeast
Sep 5, 2026Septemvri Tervel(away)2-5Third League - Northeast

How many goals should we expect?

Olympic Varna score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Devnya 2005 score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olympic Varna1.72.629/1511/15
Devnya 20051.11.823/84/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olympic Varna sit 12th in Third League - Northeast (9 points from 8 matches) and Devnya 2005 sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Devnya 2005831491410
12Olympic Varna830516219

A question about Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005?
The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Devnya 2005.
Where and when is Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005 played?
Olympic Varna vs Devnya 2005 is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olympic Varna and Devnya 2005

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