FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Spartak, Mogilev
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?
Dinamo Minsk is a heavy favourite: 1,881 Elo points against 1,524, a 357-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Dinamo Minsk have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Dinamo Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk 3-1 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 2-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Dinamo Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Dinamo Minsk 4-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2022 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th in Premier League (14 points from 19 matches) and Dinamo Minsk sit 2nd (36 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk played?
- FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Spartak, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.