Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al Ba'quba Stadium, Ba'quba
The Footlab AI model makes Diyala the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diyala wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Diyala (1,489) and Al Kahrabaa (1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Al Kahrabaa
Not enough data to predict the Al Kahrabaa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyala have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Diyala win, 1 draw, 2 Al Kahrabaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Diyala 0-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 1-2 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 1-1 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Diyala 1-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyala score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyala | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diyala sit 9th in Iraqi League (12 points from 10 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 16th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diyala the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Diyala vs Al Kahrabaa is played on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ba'quba Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.