Duhok vs Al-Karma: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dohuk Stadium, Dohuk
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Duhok. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Karma wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duhok vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Duhok vs Al-Karma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Duhok
Not enough data to predict the Duhok lineup.
Al-Karma
Not enough data to predict the Al-Karma lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duhok have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Karma have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zakho(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Duhok win, 0 draws, 3 Al-Karma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Karma 3-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Duhok 0-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Al-Karma 1-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Duhok 3-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Duhok score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duhok sit 9th in Iraqi League (12 points from 10 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Duhok vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duhok vs Al-Karma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Duhok.
- Where and when is Duhok vs Al-Karma played?
- Duhok vs Al-Karma is played on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dohuk Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.