Djoliba vs Club Africain: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, Bamako
The Footlab model makes Djoliba the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Club Africain. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Djoliba vs Club Africain?
Club Africain starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Djoliba have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Club Africain have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | ASKO(away) | 3-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Diarra(away) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Binga(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| May 25, 2026 | Bakaridjan(away) | 3-0 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Soliman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Djoliba score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Club Africain score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djoliba | 1.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Africain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Djoliba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Djoliba vs Club Africain?
- The Footlab model makes Djoliba the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Club Africain.
- Where and when is Djoliba vs Club Africain played?
- Djoliba vs Club Africain is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.