Dongen vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Biezen, Dongen
The Footlab AI model makes Dongen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dongen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dongen vs Blauw Geel?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Dongen (1,636) and Blauw Geel (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dongen vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dongen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dongen wins, 1 draw, 3 Blauw Geel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel 3-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Dongen 1-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Blauw Geel 2-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 29, 2022 | Blauw Geel 0-2 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Dongen 2-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Blauw Geel 4-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Dongen score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongen | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dongen sit 6th in Derde Divisie (16 points from 10 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Dongen vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dongen vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dongen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Dongen vs Blauw Geel played?
- Dongen vs Blauw Geel is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Biezen, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.