Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), Hoogeveen
The Footlab model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eemdijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Hoogeveen (1,724) and Eemdijk (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogeveen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Eemdijk have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Huizen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkum(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hoogeveen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eemdijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hoogeveen 1-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Eemdijk 1-1 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Hoogeveen 1-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Eemdijk 2-4 Hoogeveen | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Hoogeveen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Eemdijk score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoogeveen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eemdijk | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoogeveen sit 7th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Eemdijk sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hoogeveen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk?
- The Footlab model makes Hoogeveen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Eemdijk.
- Where and when is Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk played?
- Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.