Dover vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 4-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Southall(home) | 5-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Southall(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dover wins, 2 draws, 1 Dorking Wanderers win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dover 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Dover 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dover vs Dorking Wanderers on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Dover vs Dorking Wanderers is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.