Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
The Footlab model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Drogheda United (1,586) and Sligo Rovers (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Drogheda United have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sligo Rovers have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | College Corinthians(away) | 3-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Drogheda United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sligo Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 2-2 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 1-1 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 2, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 2-2 Drogheda United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Drogheda United score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sligo Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sligo Rovers | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Drogheda United sit 9th in Premier Division (28 points from 28 matches) and Sligo Rovers sit 10th (23 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 22 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 19 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Drogheda United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sligo Rovers.
- Where and when is Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers played?
- Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Sullivan & Lambe Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.