Galway United vs Bohemians: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 31Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
The Footlab model makes Bohemians the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Galway United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galway United vs Bohemians?
Bohemians starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galway United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bohemians have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 5-3 | Premier Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Galway United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bohemians win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1-1 Galway United | Premier Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Galway United 2-4 Bohemians | Premier Division |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bohemians 1-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Galway United 2-0 Bohemians | Premier Division |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Bohemians 3-0 Galway United | Premier Division |
| May 5, 2025 | Galway United 1-2 Bohemians | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Bohemians vs Galway United on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galway United score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bohemians score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bohemians | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galway United sit 7th in Premier Division (33 points from 27 matches) and Bohemians sit 3rd (47 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bohemians | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 34 |
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galway United vs Bohemians?
- The Footlab model makes Bohemians the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Galway United.
- Where and when is Galway United vs Bohemians played?
- Galway United vs Bohemians is played on September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Eamonn Deacy Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.