Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,731) and Botev Vratsa (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Vratsa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dunav Ruse win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Botev Vratsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2020 | Botev Vratsa 0-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jun 29, 2020 | Dunav Ruse 1-3 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Dunav Ruse 0-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Botev Vratsa 0-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jul 27, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 3-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Vratsa vs Dunav Ruse on Jul 6, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Botev Vratsa sit 14th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa?
- The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.