Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slavia Sofia win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 CSKA 1948 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 0-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-3 CSKA 1948 | Cup |
| Sep 15, 2025 | CSKA 1948 3-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 2, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 0-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 1-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | CSKA 1948 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia sit 9th in First League (6 points from 5 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.