Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ticha, Dolni chiflik
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Cherno More Varna. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1- 10Celso Sidney
- 11M. Achi
- 99I. Bounaas
- 24David Teles
- 71V. Panayotov
- 29B. Beyhan
- 37V. Kerchev
- 50E. Tombak
- 5L. Squadrone
- 93G. Ventsislavov
- 31D. Hristov
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno More Varna have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cherno More Varna win, 3 draws, 2 CSKA Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 3-1 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 2-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 0-0 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna | Cup |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA Sofia | Cup |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 1-1 Cherno More Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno More Varna score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherno More Varna sit 14th in First League (6 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Sofia sit 2nd (27 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Cherno More Varna.
- Where and when is Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia played?
- Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ticha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.