Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Sofia (1,689) and Dunav Ruse (1,687).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2- 9Álex Valiño
- 11D. Minchev
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 44V. Vidaković
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 88D. Todorov
- 5K. Antoniou
- 4J. Cabarcas
- 33G. Kitanov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lokomotiv Sofia wins, 1 draw, 0 Dunav Ruse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Dunav Ruse 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 10th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dunav Ruse is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.