Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,731) and Slavia Sofia (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dunav Ruse win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Slavia Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2020 | Slavia Sofia 3-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 0-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 3, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 0-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Apr 12, 2019 | Slavia Sofia 3-5 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Dec 6, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Aug 17, 2018 | Slavia Sofia 2-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Dunav Ruse on Feb 24, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Slavia Sofia is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.