Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for CSKA 1948. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Levski Sofia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 CSKA 1948 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948 0-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 2, 2026 | Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSKA 1948 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | CSKA 1948 2-4 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Levski Sofia on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 2nd in First League (15 points from 5 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for CSKA 1948.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.