Niteroiense vs Audax Rio: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Audax Rio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niteroiense vs Audax Rio?
Niteroiense starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,609 vs 1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Niteroiense vs Audax Rio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Niteroiense
Not enough data to predict the Niteroiense lineup.
Audax Rio
4-3-3- FFabinho Polhão
- RRaphael
- GGutinho
- PPedrinho
- JJeferson Carneiro
- 18Bruninho
- JJean
- JJoão Victor da Silva Dias
- RRafael Reis
- AAthyla
- YYan Rodrigues
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niteroiense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Audax Rio have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carapebus(away) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nova Cidade(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nova Cidade(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Petrópolis(away) | 2-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Serrano RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Niteroiense score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Audax Rio score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niteroiense | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Audax Rio | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niteroiense sit 1st in Carioca - 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Audax Rio sit 11th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Niteroiense vs Audax Rio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niteroiense vs Audax Rio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Audax Rio.
- Where and when is Niteroiense vs Audax Rio played?
- Niteroiense vs Audax Rio is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.