Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Atílio Marotti, Petrópolis, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Serrano RJ. The most likely score is 1-1. If Petrópolis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Petrópolis (1,508) and Serrano RJ (1,505).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Petrópolis
Not enough data to predict the Petrópolis lineup.
Serrano RJ
Not enough data to predict the Serrano RJ lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrópolis have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Serrano RJ have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Artsul(away) | 4-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Campo Grande(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Audax Rio(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Goytacaz(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Petrópolis win, 0 draws, 1 Serrano RJ win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Serrano RJ 2-1 Petrópolis | Carioca - 2 |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Serrano RJ 0-1 Petrópolis | Carioca A2 |
Last archived meeting: Serrano RJ vs Petrópolis on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Petrópolis score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano RJ score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrópolis | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Serrano RJ | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrópolis sit 5th in Carioca - 2 (10 points from 6 matches) and Serrano RJ sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Petrópolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
A question about Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Serrano RJ.
- Where and when is Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ played?
- Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Atílio Marotti, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.